If Republicans take control of one or both houses ofCongress this fall, many will have been elected with a promise to"repeal and replace" ObamaCare. But what are their options, really?There likely will be an initial showdown, but President Obama willsurely veto any challenge to the law, and it would be hard to imaginemustering the votes to overturn it.
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Informationis the key weapon. Republicans can use congressional hearings toexplain what ObamaCare is doing to the economy and the health sector.Their strongest cases would be built around jobs, the cost of healthcare, and the rising deficit.
Ifevidence shows that looming mandates on employers are cripplingjob-creation, they should be repealed. If health costs are rising, asthey inevitably will be, Congress needs to hold hearings to investigatethe causes and explain why the offending taxes and regulations must berepealed.
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Here are six key strategies that a Republican Congress could employ to put on the brakes:
• Defund it.House Republican Leader John Boehner of Ohio has vowed to choke offfunding for implementation of the legislation, starting with parts thatare especially egregious such as the "army of new IRS agents" needed topolice compliance.
WhileRepublicans could target the most damaging provisions of the legislationand tie their defunding measures to appropriations legislation that thepresident wants and needs to sign, they'd better be ready for battles.When former House Speaker Newt Gingrich lost a stand-down with PresidentClinton over closing down the government in 1996, it was widely seen asa setback for GOP efforts to scale back big government.
• Dismantle it.To focus committee action and floor votes, Republicans can look forprovisions in the law that Democrats are on record as opposing. Forexample, Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D., N.D.) hassaid that the new federal program to fund long-term care—the CommunityLiving Assistance Services and Supports Act, or CLASS Act—is "a Ponzischeme of the first order, the kind of thing that Bernie Madoff wouldhave been proud of." Mr. Conrad and five of his Democratic colleaguessent a letter to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) before thelegislation passed opposing the program and expressing "grave concerns"about its fiscal sustainability.
Otherhighly unpopular provisions include the requirement that all businessesmust file 1099 forms with the IRS to report any purchases totaling morethan $600 in a year. This is designed to raise about $17 billion over10 years from tax cheats. Rep. Dan Lungren (R., Calif.) was the first tointroduce legislation to repeal this gigantic paperwork burden. ManyDemocrats in vulnerable districts who voted for the health law are alsoanxious to repeal this provision, which the National Federation ofIndependent Business says will impact 40 million businesses.
• Delay it.Republicans can also vote to postpone cuts to the popular MedicareAdvantage program, postpone mandates requiring that individuals andbusinesses purchase and provide health insurance, and delay impositionof the $500 billion in taxes required by the law. Mr. Obama wouldn'tlikely sign such legislation, but the debate would shine a light onproblems that haven't received nearly enough attention.
• Disapprove regulations.The Congressional Review Act of 1996 (CRA) gives Congress the authorityto overturn regulations issued by federal agencies if both housesapprove, with a two-thirds majority needed to override a presidentialveto. This would be difficult to pull off. But proposing a resolution ofdisapproval under the CRA gives Republicans a platform to expressstrong disagreement and bring attention to especially egregious rules.
The current congressional majority wants to gut the CRA,and the House passed a bill that would eliminate the requirement thatfederal agencies submit their rules to Congress before they can takeeffect. The Senate has not yet acted, but this measure should be on theRepublicans' watch list for the rest of the year.
• Direct oversight and investigation. Otheraspects of ObamaCare are ripe for public hearings. For example, rulesdictating how much insurance companies must spend on direct medicalbenefits are already hugely controversial—even before they have beenissued. Businesses are also aghast at the narrow openings they have toprotect their current health plans from onerous federal regulation.Republicans could summon many witnesses to testify about the impact ofthis regulatory straightjacket.
Congressalso must keep a careful eye on the evolving cost estimates anddeficits. Former Congressional Budget Office Director DouglasHoltz-Eakin estimates that the cost of the subsidies for privateinsurance could rise to $1.4 trillion —triple the $450 billion assumedby the current CBO. This is because the legislation creates strongincentives for businesses to drop coverage and dump their employees intofederally subsidized insurance. Congress has a responsibility toprotect taxpayers from what surely will be exploding costs.
Republicansalso will want to call Donald Berwick, head of the powerful Centers forMedicare and Medicaid Services, to testify before Congress and detailhis regulatory agenda for implementing the health-care law. He escapedthat duty earlier this year when the White House avoided his Senateconfirmation by giving him a controversial recess appointment.
• Delegate to the states. Congressshould encourage states to press forward with their own innovativeprograms. For example, Gov. Mitch Daniels's popular and fiscallyresponsible Healthy Indiana Plan expands coverage to the uninsured usinga health savings account model. And the lightly regulated Utah HealthExchange provides a marketplace for individuals and small businesses topurchase affordable, portable health insurance. Both are threatened byObamaCare. The more that states are marching forward with reform thatsuits the needs and pocketbooks of their citizens, the easier it will befor Congress to repeal ObamaCare and start over.
Americans intuitively understand that government can'tpay for huge new entitlement programs and the expansion of Medicaid withimagined cuts to Medicare, while still improving Medicare's long-termsolvency. They also know that job creation is flat and that employers'fear of ever-rising health benefit costs is part of the problem. Theyneed to hear the evidence that their fears are valid.
Thereal wallop of ObamaCare will come in 2014, when most of the spendingbegins and businesses and individuals are hit with intrusive andexpensive mandates. The main job of Republicans, should they captureCongress, will be to slow down implementation of the law and explain tothe American people the damage it will do—and already is doing—to oureconomy. If the White House changes hands in 2012, they can be ready tostart with a clean slate and begin a step-by-step approach to sensiblereform.
Ms. Turner is president of the Galen Institute.
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